Trump says there is a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran

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Trump says there is a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran

🇺🇸 Trump’s Dramatic Ceasefire Announcement

On June 23, 2025, former President Donald Trump posted on his Truth Social platform that Israel and Iran had agreed to a “Complete and Total CEASEFIRE” after what he has termed the “12 Day War.” The truce, he claimed, would unfold in three stages:

  1. Iran halts its operations, starting about 6 hours after Trump’s post.

  2. Israel stops attacks 12 hours later.

  3. After another 12 hours, the war would officially end.
    abcnews.go.com+14theguardian.com+14reuters.com+14reuters.comindiatimes.com+7abcnews.go.com+7apnews.com+7

Trump lauded both nations for their “Stamina, Courage, and Intelligence” and said that the conflict “could have gone on for years, and destroyed the entire Middle East… but it didn’t, and never will!” indiatimes.com+5theguardian.com+5aljazeera.com+5

He also highlighted U.S. involvement: praising Iranian missile pre-notification ahead of strikes, supporting Israel’s operations with airstrikes—most notably targeting Tehran’s nuclear facilities—and praising Gulf state mediator Qatar. Vice President J.D. Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and special envoy Steve Witkoff reportedly worked in tandem on communications, and Trump spoke directly with Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu. apnews.com+2reuters.com+2apnews.com+2

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🔎 What Sparks Doubt?

While Trump described the ceasefire as agreed upon, neither Israel nor Iran has formally confirmed it:

  • Iran’s Foreign Minister, Abbas Araqchi, clarified that no formal “ceasefire or cessation of military operations” had been signed. He stated Iran would pause its response if Israel halted its operations by 4 a.m. Tehran time—but final decisions would come later. wsj.com+15apnews.com+15theguardian.com+15

  • Israel has yet to issue an official declaration confirming its end of hostilities. Instead, the IDF continued intercepting missiles from Iran and issued evacuation alerts in Tehran and the Golan Heights. reuters.com

So the “agreement” Trump announced appears to be more a declaration of intent, contingent on both sides reducing attacks by specified deadlines—not a signed or jointly issued ceasefire document

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Broader Conflict Timeline
⚠️ Roots of the 12-Day War

  • June 12: Israel launches airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities (Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan), citing intelligence that Iran was nearing a nuclear weapon—claims U.S. agencies did not confirm. reuters.com+1en.wikipedia.org+1

  • June 21: U.S. joins the operation; B‑2 bombers drop Massive Ordnance Penetrators (“bunker‑busters”) on the same sites. Trump later called it a “spectacular military success” and promised more if Iran retaliated. en.wikipedia.org+1abcnews.go.com+1

  • June 23: Iran retaliates with a missile strike targeting the Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, which hosted U.S. forces. Most missiles were intercepted, and no U.S. casualties were reported. Iran apparently gave “early notice,” earning Trump’s calculated praise. abcnews.go.com+6washingtonpost.com+6apnews.com+6

It was after this calibrated Iranian strike and American praise that Trump claimed he had brokered the ceasefire.

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🎙️ Reactions: Headlines, Diplomacy & Markets

🌍 Diplomats and Governments

  • Iran’s Araqchi: Firmly stated that Iran had not agreed to a formal ceasefire—only said they would halt operations on the condition Israel did so first. nbcwashington.com+10apnews.com+10reuters.com+10

  • Israel: Silent on an official agreement; remaining in defensive mode.

  • Qatar: Credited with mediating. It reopened airspace shortly after the announcement but classified Iran’s attack on U.S. assets as a “violation of sovereignty.” theguardian.com+2reuters.com+2washingtonpost.com+2

📈 Financial Markets

Global markets responded with optimism: U.S.–based stock futures ticked up, and crude oil prices dropped as fears of a supply disruption eased. reuters.com

🎯 Why Trump Says This Matters

  1. Strategic Reset
    Trump frames the ceasefire as a demonstration of his dual approach: military force plus diplomacy. His team views the calibrated Iranian response and halted operations as evidence the strategy succeeded. aljazeera.com+3apnews.com+3en.wikipedia.org+3

  2. Nuclear Rollback
    He claims the U.S. “obliterated” Iran’s nuclear capability, nullifying their path to a bomb. Critics note that U.S. intelligence earlier found no active bomb program, despite Iran’s nuclear advancements.

  3. Electoral Messaging
    With a NATO summit on the horizon and 2024-election buzz building, Trump is presenting the ceasefire as another “peace-through-strength” achievement—positioning himself for political gain.

🤔 Remaining Doubts & Escalation Risks

✅ Verification Issues

🔄 Continued Shelling

  • Iranian missiles were still intercepted early Tue June 24, despite Trump’s timeline.

  • Israeli defensive sirens and evacuation alerts continued in key areas. reuters.com

🌍 Regional Flashpoints

  • Iran’s parliament is considering suspending cooperation with the IAEA.

  • Israel may need to respond if Iran rebuilds nuclear facilities or engages in proxy attacks via factions in Syria, Yemen, or Lebanon. theguardian.com

🌐 Stakes for the Region

🇮🇷 Iran

  • A ceasefire offers temporary respite, but Iran’s true aim—deterring U.S./Israeli intervention—remains.

  • Nuclear capability is likely paused but not dismantled; its ideological leadership won’t easily accept surrender.

🇮🇱 Israel

  • Israel’s core objective—disrupt Iran’s nuclear installations—was achieved, in part with U.S. aid.

  • But military fatigue and mounting civilian alerts may pressure Israel toward broader political solutions—or risk a prolonged stand-off.

🏘️ U.S./Global

  • The U.S. has reasserted its military and diplomatic leverage in the Middle East.

  • Yet any misstep—failure to verify or enforce the ceasefire—could lead to renewed conflict and scramble global markets.

🛠️ What to Watch Next

AreaKey Signs

Iran

Will it rebuild nuclear sites? Resume missile launches? Respond to Israeli/Western probes?

Israel

Any formal statement on ceasefire? Withdrawal of forces? Shift to diplomatic channels?

U.S. diplomacy

Further communications from Qatar, U.S., or other Gulf states to solidify the ceasefire.

Military alerts

Evacuation warnings, missile interceptions, or flagging of regional hotspots.

Economic response

If calm holds, markets may reflect sustained peace—oil and stock graphs may shift again.


📝 Final Word: Ceasefire or “Pausefire”?

Trump’s announcement on June 23 positions the moment as a major diplomatic success—a peace agreement born from “stamina, courage, intelligence, and U.S. leadership.” Yet:

  • It lacks joint confirmation from Israeli or Iranian officials.

  • It hinges on conditional pauses, not mutual signed commitments.

  • Ongoing military alerts, missile firings, and political statements suggest very much that the war is not ended, just perhaps temporarily paused.

For now, it’s reasonable to describe the situation as a fraught ceasefire framework—a sequence of conditional pauses that may or may not translate into a lasting cessation of hostilities.

🔍 Whether it emerges as a genuine peace moment or devolves back into violence depends on the actions taken in the coming days and weeks. Trump’s gamble—asserting resolution based on this setup—may yet pay off, or it might unravel without stronger buy-in from both nations.

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